Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Thursday 29 December 2022
for the period until midnight EST Sunday 1 January 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

The monsoon trough extends across the Gulf of Carpentaria and is becoming established in the northwest Coral Sea. With the monsoon trough in the region the likelihood of tropical activity in the northern Coral Sea increases from early next week.

However, there are no significant tropical lows in the region and none are expected to develop during the next seven days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Friday:

Very Low

Saturday:

Very Low

Sunday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/