Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Friday 30 December 2022
for the period until midnight EST Monday 2 January 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

The monsoon trough extends across the Gulf of Carpentaria and into the northwest Coral Sea. Squally thunderstorms have developed in the vicinity of the monsoon trough, however, there are no significant tropical lows in the region and none are expected to develop during the next seven days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Saturday:

Very Low

Sunday:

Very Low

Monday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/