Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Sunday 8 January 2023
for the period until midnight EST Wednesday 11 January 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

There are no significant lows in the region and none expected for the next five days. A surge in southeasterly winds off the central Queensland coast next weekend enhances the prospects of a tropical low forming further to the north. At this stage the risk of it becoming a tropical cyclone is considered low next Sunday.

Likelihood of this being a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Monday:

Very Low

Tuesday:

Very Low

Wednesday:

Very Low

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/