Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Wednesday 11 January 2023
for the period until midnight EST Saturday 14 January 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

There are currently no significant lows in the region and none are expected to develop through to the weekend. A surge in easterly winds off the central Queensland coast could lead to the formation of a tropical low further to the north early next week. The likelihood of it becoming a tropical cyclone increases slightly to Low from later on Monday 16 January to Wednesday 18 Janauary.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Thursday:

Very Low

Friday:

Very Low

Saturday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/