Updated Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 10:42 am EST on Friday 20 January 2023
for the period until midnight EST Sunday 22 January 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

A tropical low was located well away from the Queensland coast near 18.4S 157.7E at 10am AEST Friday. It is moving southeast and further away from the coast and will be east of the Australian region (160E) overnight. It is not expected to be a tropical cyclone in the Australian region.

The system will not have any direct impacts on the Queensland coast or islands.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Saturday:

Low

Sunday:

Very Low

There are no other significant systems in the region and none are expected to develop in the next seven days.

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Saturday:

Very Low

Sunday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/