Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Monday 30 January 2023
for the period until midnight EST Thursday 2 February 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

There are currently no significant tropical lows in the region. The monsoon trough is likely to become active across the north during the weekend. Transient tropical lows may develop along the trough in the Gulf of Carpentaria and over the far eastern Coral Sea region by late weekend. The lows are expected to be weak and not develop into a cyclone in the next seven days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Tuesday:

Very Low

Wednesday:

Very Low

Thursday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/