Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Wednesday 1 February 2023
for the period until midnight EST Saturday 4 February 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

There are no significant tropical lows in the region. The monsoon is likely to become active across the north during the weekend with increasing shower and thunderstorm activity. Despite this, no significant lows are expected to form in the region in the next seven days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Thursday:

Very Low

Friday:

Very Low

Saturday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/