Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Friday 3 February 2023
for the period until midnight EST Monday 6 February 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

There are no significant tropical lows in the region. An active monsoon is extending across the tropics with increased shower and thunderstorm activity. A tropical low may be developing near the far eastern boundary or moving westwards from Fiji's area over the far eastern parts of the region on Thursday or Friday next week.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Saturday:

Very Low

Sunday:

Very Low

Monday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/