Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Saturday 11 February 2023
for the period until midnight EST Tuesday 14 February 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.

Likelihood of this system remaining a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Potential Cyclones:

There are no significant systems in the region and none are expected to develop in the next seven days.

However, at 10am AEST Saturday, Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle, category 2, was located in the New Zealand area of responsibility near -27.6 165.6. It is currently moving to the east southeast at 25 kilometres per hour and is forecast to impact Norfolk Island today and Sunday. Refer to the latest Norfolk Island Tropical Cyclone Advice and Forecast Track Map for further details on this system http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/.

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Sunday:

Very Low

Monday:

Very Low

Tuesday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/