Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Wednesday 1 March 2023
for the period until midnight EST Saturday 4 March 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

There are currently no significant systems in the region and none are expected over the next seven days.

A tropical low (18U) lies to the east of the region, located near 12.9S 160.4E at 1pm AEST Wednesday 1 March. The low is expected to take a track to the southeast later today and develop further. It is expected to remain to the east of the region.

This system poses no direct threat to the Queensland coast or Australian offshore islands.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Thursday:

Very Low

Friday:

Very Low

Saturday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/