Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Wednesday 8 March 2023
for the period until midnight EST Saturday 11 March 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

There are currently no significant tropical lows in the region. A low may form next week west of Vanuatu but east of the Australian region. It may be near the region boundary (160E) by next Tuesday or Wednesday but won't pose any threat to the Australian coast.

Very Low risk of a tropical cyclone in the next six days, risk is Low for next Wednesday 15 March.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Thursday:

Very Low

Friday:

Very Low

Saturday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/