Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Thursday 9 March 2023
for the period until midnight EST Sunday 12 March 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

There are currently no significant tropical lows in the region. A low may form mid-next week west of Vanuatu but at this stage will either remain east of the Australian region or be weak just inside the region.

Hence, very Low risk of a tropical cyclone in the next seven days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Friday:

Very Low

Saturday:

Very Low

Sunday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/