Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Friday 10 March 2023
for the period until midnight EST Monday 13 March 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

There are currently no significant systems in the region, Very Low risk until Wednesday.

A low may form next week around Vanuatu (east of the region). It could be near the Australian region boundary (160E) by next Wednesday. A small amount of guidance has the system moving into the Coral Sea and developing, hence a Low risk for Thursday 16th and Friday 17th.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Saturday:

Very Low

Sunday:

Very Low

Monday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/