Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Wednesday 12 April 2023
for the period until midnight EST Saturday 15 April 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

There are no significant tropical lows in the region. A weak low may form in the far northeast of the region southwest of the Solomon Islands by Friday. At this stage it will likely move out of the region over following days. By next Tuesday or Wednesday (18-19 April) this system may move back into the region with some chance of developing. The risk of it being a tropical cyclone increases to Low next Wednesday 19 April.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Thursday:

Very Low

Friday:

Very Low

Saturday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/