Updated Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria

Issued at 12:13 pm CST on Saturday 7 January 2023
for the period until midnight CST Tuesday 10 January 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Northern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

At noon ACST Saturday 7 January, Ex-Tropical Cyclone Ellie was located near the WA/NT border about 125 km west southwest of Rabbit Flat and moving to the southeast. The low will remain over land bringing heavy rain to parts of the inland Northern Territory - refer to the latest warnings at http://www.bom.gov.au/nt/warnings/

There are no other significant tropical lows in the region and none are expected to develop in the next seven days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:

Sunday:

Very Low

Monday:

Very Low

Tuesday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between 125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E).

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/