Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria

Issued at 2:15 pm CST on Monday 23 January 2023
for the period until midnight CST Thursday 26 January 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Northern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

A weak low (10U) was located near 11S 135E, about 100 kilometres north of Milingimbi, at 1:00pm CST Monday and moving west. It is expected to remain weak as it moves through the Timor Sea on Tuesday and then out of the region, west of 125E, on Wednesday. No other significant lows are expected in the region in the next seven days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:

Tuesday:

Very Low

Wednesday:

Very Low

Thursday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between 125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E).

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/