IDD10610

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria

Issued at 2:15 pm CST on Thursday 16 February 2023
for the period until midnight CST Sunday 19 February 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Northern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

Tropical Low (15U) lies over the southern Gulf of Carpentaria waters. The risk for the system to develop into a tropical cyclone is Very Low. The low is expected to move over the southern Gulf coast later today, Thursday 16 February.

From Friday 17 February, Tropical Low 15U is forecast to track westwards over land across the Northern Territory either dissipating or potentially moving over the Kimberley in Western Australia later in the weekend. This results in Very Low risk for the next seven days from today, Thursday 16 February to Thursday 23 February.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:

There are no other tropical systems in the region and none are expected to develop over the next seven days.

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between 125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E).

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/