Updated Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria

Issued at 1:06 pm CST on Thursday 9 March 2023
for the period until midnight CST Sunday 12 March 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Northern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

Tropical low (16U) lies inland from the southern Gulf of Carpentaria coast, located near 18.3S 140.7E at 1pm ACST Thursday 9 March, 80 km south southwest of Normanton. The low is expected to move south further inland and weaken.

There are no other significant tropical systems forecast to develop in the Northern Region within the next seven days.

The risk of a tropical cyclone forming is Very Low for the next seven days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:

Friday:

Very Low

Saturday:

Very Low

Sunday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between 125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E).

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/