Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria

Issued at 2:15 pm CST on Friday 10 March 2023
for the period until midnight CST Monday 13 March 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Northern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

During Friday morning tropical low (16U) was inland from the southern Gulf of Carpentaria coast, located around 155 km south southeast of Burketown. The low is expected to move south during the weekend and weaken.

There are no other significant tropical systems forecast to develop in the Northern Region within the next seven days.

The risk of a tropical cyclone forming is Very Low for the next seven days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:

Saturday:

Very Low

Sunday:

Very Low

Monday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between 125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E).

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/