IDD10610

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria

Issued at 9:53 am CST on Friday 7 April 2023
for the period until midnight CST Sunday 9 April 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Northern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

A tropical low, 23U, was located about 300 km north of Melville and Bathurst Islands at 0930 ACST and expected to be slow moving Friday and Saturday before moving to the west southwest across the Timor Sea north of the Kimberley coast. It is only expected to slowly develop and by Sunday 9 April there is a Moderate likelihood that the low becomes a tropical cyclone. The likelihood remains Moderate on Monday 10 April before 23U moves further west and out of the region by Tuesday 11 April decreasing the risk to Low, then Very Low on Wednesday 12 April.

The presence of the low off the coast is likely to increase storm activity about the Tiwi Islands and adjacent coastline for the next few days and then about the north Kimberley coast from Sunday to Tuesday.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:

There are no other significant tropical lows expected in the region during the next seven days.

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between 125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E).

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/