Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria

Issued at 2:15 pm CST on Wednesday 12 April 2023
for the period until midnight CST Saturday 15 April 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Northern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

There are no significant tropical lows in the region and none are expected to develop during the next seven days.

The remains of Tropical Cyclone Ilsa will be weakening as it moves southeast across the interior of Western Australia of Friday and by Saturday it will move through southern NT bringing a period of heavy rain and strong winds.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:

Thursday:

Very Low

Friday:

Very Low

Saturday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between 125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E).

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/