Updated Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

Issued at 2:28 pm WST on Wednesday 4 January 2023
for the period until midnight WST Saturday 7 January 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

At 2pm AWST Wednesday 4 January ex-Tropical Cyclone Ellie was located about 130 kilometres east southeast of Broome, near 18.6S 123.3E. The low is expected to be remain over the west Kimberley during Wednesday before moving to the east southeast further inland on Thursday and on Friday. It is not expected to move over water and intensify.

Intermittent gale force winds are expected about the west Kimberley coast including Broome on Wednesday and into Thursday.

Heavy rainfall and flooding is occurring over the west Kimberley and expected to continue near the system for the next few days. Refer to the latest warnings at http://www.bom.gov.au/wa/warnings/

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Thursday:

Very Low

Friday:

Very Low

Saturday:

Very Low

There are no other significant tropical lows in the region and none are expected to develop over the next seven days.

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Thursday:

Very Low

Friday:

Very Low

Saturday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/