Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Thursday 5 January 2023
for the period until midnight WST Sunday 8 January 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Ellie is located southeast of Broome and has been slow moving. The low is expected to move to the southeast and further inland tonight and Friday and then gradually weaken on the weekend.

Intermittent gale force winds about the west Kimberley coast are expected to ease as Ex-Tropical Cyclone Ellie moves inland. Heavy rainfall and flooding is occurring over the west Kimberley and expected to continue near the system for the next few days. Refer to the latest warnings at http://www.bom.gov.au/wa/warnings/

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Friday:

Very Low

Saturday:

Very Low

Sunday:

Very Low

There are no other significant tropical lows in the region and none are expected to develop over the next seven days.

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Friday:

Very Low

Saturday:

Very Low

Sunday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/