Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Friday 10 February 2023
for the period until midnight WST Monday 13 February 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

At 10am WST Friday 10, Tropical Cyclone Freddy, category 2, was located in the central Indian Ocean, approximately 950 kilometres northwest of Exmouth and well away from the Pilbara coast. Tropical Cyclone Freddy is forecast to continue to move west across the Indian Ocean and remain a tropical cyclone for the next seven days. However, from Thursday 16 February Freddy may be moving to the west of the Australian region and the risk of it being a tropical cyclone in the region reduces to Moderate. During Friday the 17 February, Freddy is likely to be even further west and the risk of being a tropical cyclone in the Australian region is Very Low.

For the latest information please refer to http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone.

Likelihood of this system remaining a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Saturday:

High

Sunday:

High

Monday:

High

Potential Cyclones:

There are no other signficant systems in the region and none expected in the next seven days.

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Saturday:

Very Low

Sunday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/