Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

Issued at 2:10 pm WST on Sunday 12 February 2023
for the period until midnight WST Wednesday 15 February 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

At 8am WST Sunday 10, Severe Tropical Cyclone Freddy, category 4, was located in the central Indian Ocean, 560 kilometres southeast of Cocos (Keeling) Islands and well away from the Western Australian coast. Severe Tropical Cyclone Freddy is forecast to continue to move west across the Indian Ocean. Freddy is expected to remain a tropical cyclone while in the Australian region. From Wednesday 15 February it is expected to be moving to the west of the Australian region. From Thursday the 16 February, Freddy is likely to be moving further west and the risk of being a tropical cyclone in the Australian region is Low. During Friday 17, Saturday 18 and Sunday 19 February, Freddy is expected to be well west of the Australian region and ratings return to Very Low.

For the latest information please refer to http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone.

Likelihood of this system remaining a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Monday:

High

Tuesday:

High

Wednesday:

High

Potential Cyclones:

There are no other signficant systems in the region and none expected in the next seven days.

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Monday:

Very Low

Tuesday:

Very Low

Wednesday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/