Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

Issued at 6:54 am WST on Sunday 26 February 2023
for the period until midnight WST Tuesday 28 February 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

A weak tropical low (16U) lies north of the west Kimberley coast, and was located near 15.2S 120.6E at 6am WST 26 February.

This system is expected to continue to weaken and is likely to merge with the tropical low further east (see below) today or on Monday. It now has a Very Low risk of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 7 days.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Sunday:

Very Low

Monday:

Very Low

Tuesday:

Very Low

Another tropical low (17U) lies over land to the southwest of the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf, and was located near 15.0S 126.6E at 6am WST 26 February. This system will remain slow moving over or near land through today and Monday. From Tuesday it may begin to move east into the Northern Territory.

The risk of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region during the next 7 days is Very Low.

No other significant lows are expected in the next seven days.

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Sunday:

Very Low

Monday:

Very Low

Tuesday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/