IDW10800

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Monday 27 February 2023
for the period until midnight WST Thursday 2 March 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

A tropical low (16U) lies just off the north Kimberley coast, located near 13.9S 125.8E at 12pm AWST 27 February.

This system is expected to continue to move east-southeast and over land during Monday afternoon. The system is likely to merge with the tropical low further southeast (17U, see below) on Monday night or Tuesday. The risk of 16U being a tropical cyclone is Very Low.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Another tropical low (17U) lies over land to the southeast of the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf, and was located near 17.6S 129.5E at 12pm AWST 27 February. This system will remain slow moving over land likely to move east into the Northern Territory for much of this week. In the longer term there is a large degree of uncertainty in the exact location of this low, though it is expected to be embedded within a trough that extends from inland parts of the Kimberley across to the Gulf of Carpentaria for the next seven days.

The risk of this system developing into a tropical cyclone in the Western Region during the next seven days is Very Low.

No other significant lows are expected in the next seven days.

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/