Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Thursday 16 March 2023
for the period until midnight WST Sunday 19 March 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

There are no significant tropical lows in the region at present

A small amount of model guidance indicates a weak low could form in the Timor Sea next Wednesday/Thursday and track to the southwest. At this stage the environment is generally unfavourable, however there is a Low risk on Thursday 23 March for the system to develop and reach tropical cyclone intensity.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Friday:

Very Low

Saturday:

Very Low

Sunday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/