Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Sunday 9 April 2023
for the period until midnight WST Wednesday 12 April 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

There are no significant lows currently in the region.

A tropical low, 23U was located outside the region near 11.4S 127.7E, about 345km north northeast of Kalumburu at 11am AWST Sunday. It is likely to enter the region on Monday when it is forecast to be at tropical cyclone intensity. Hence the risk of being a tropical cyclone increases to high and remains high through until the system weakens over land by Saturday. The system is likely to intensify further and directly impact the east Pilbara and west Kimberley coasts by Thursday.

Refer to Tropical Cyclone warnings for the latest information at: www.bom.gov.au/cyclone

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Monday:

High

Tuesday:

High

Wednesday:

High

There are no other significant tropical lows expected in the region for the next seven days

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Monday:

Very Low

Tuesday:

Very Low

Wednesday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/