Updated Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

Issued at 2:33 am WST on Monday 10 April 2023
for the period until midnight WST Wednesday 12 April 2023.

Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

A tropical low, 23U was located near 12.5S 125.0E, about 270km north northwest of Kalumburu at 4am AWST Monday. It is likely entering the region this morning. While it is yet to develop to a tropical cyclone, it is expected to intensify later today and hence the risk is high, and remains high through until the system weakens over land by Friday. The system is likely to intensify further and directly impact the east Pilbara and west Kimberley coasts by Thursday.

Refer to Tropical Cyclone warnings for the latest information at: www.bom.gov.au/cyclone

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Tuesday:

High

Wednesday:

High

There are no other significant tropical lows expected in the region for the next seven days

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Tuesday:

Very Low

Wednesday:

Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.

Very Low:

less than 5%

Low:

5% to 20%

Moderate:

20 to 50%

High:

Over 50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/